Mason McTavish vs Matthew Poitras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Poitras 45.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 61.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 64.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
McTavish
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McTavish
Poitras
Last 7: McTavish 4-3 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
2
McTavish
Poitras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Poitras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
43.6% (388)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
60.0% (10)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
66.7% (3)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
McTavish
Poitras
Home
49.8% (1,678)
43.6% (195)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
44.7% (206)
By Period
McTavish
Poitras
P1
50.0%
42.6%
P2
47.8%
45.5%
P3
48.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |