Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Kadri 47.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 70.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McTavish
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McTavish
Kadri
Last 10: McTavish 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
4
McTavish
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
McTavish
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
3
McTavish
Kadri
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
46.2% (1,005)
-3.8%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
57.3% (199)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
26.7% (30)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kadri
Home
41.9% (372)
47.4% (641)
Away
42.8% (353)
47.6% (593)
By Period
McTavish
Kadri
P1
47.2%
46.9%
P2
36.2%
49.5%
P3
43.6%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |