Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Kadri 49.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 56.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
McTavish
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McTavish
Kadri
Last 7: McTavish 3-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
McTavish
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
47.7% (975)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
54.0% (226)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
55.6% (9)
-27.0%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kadri
Home
52.0% (454)
48.3% (621)
Away
51.4% (391)
49.6% (589)
By Period
McTavish
Kadri
P1
51.3%
48.1%
P2
50.4%
48.9%
P3
53.3%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |