Mason McTavish vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 64.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 67.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 71.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
McTavish
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McTavish
Stamkos
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
McTavish
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
McTavish
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
50.4% (9,799)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
55.1% (1,725)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
49.7% (825)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
McTavish
Stamkos
Home
49.8% (1,678)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
McTavish
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
49.1%
P2
47.8%
52.7%
P3
48.4%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |