Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 55.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
McTavish
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
56.1% (342)
-8.5%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
53.3% (92)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
62.5% (8)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
McTavish
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (389)
53.4% (208)
Away
45.1% (335)
57.7% (234)
By Period
McTavish
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
59.1%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%