Mason McTavish vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
McTavish
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McTavish
Karlsson
Last 10: McTavish 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
McTavish
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
McTavish
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
44.2% (1,109)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
McTavish shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
McTavish
Karlsson
Home
49.8% (1,678)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
McTavish
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
50.3%
P2
47.8%
51.3%
P3
48.4%
52.4%
OT
43.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | William Karlsson |