Mason McTavish vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 87.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 88.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 81.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
McTavish
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McTavish
Karlsson
Last 7: McTavish 1-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
McTavish
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
McTavish
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
55.3% (897)
-12.9%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
61.1% (113)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.8% (132)
-0.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
McTavish
Karlsson
Home
41.9% (372)
58.6% (560)
Away
42.8% (353)
52.2% (582)
By Period
McTavish
Karlsson
P1
47.2%
55.8%
P2
36.2%
55.6%
P3
43.6%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | William Karlsson |