Mason McTavish vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 70.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 67.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
McTavish
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McTavish
Karlsson
Last 5: McTavish 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
58.6% (597)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
57.9% (57)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
51.9% (52)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
McTavish
Karlsson
Home
52.3% (461)
59.6% (344)
Away
49.2% (500)
56.6% (362)
By Period
McTavish
Karlsson
P1
51.5%
53.1%
P2
54.0%
62.1%
P3
47.1%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |