Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs Barzal 43.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 72.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 51.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 59.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Wheeler
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wheeler
Barzal
Last 5: Wheeler 3-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Wheeler
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
42.3% (813)
+6.0%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
47.4% (19)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
100.0% (2)
-61.1%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wheeler is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Wheeler shoots right. Barzal is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Barzal
Home
50.8% (183)
44.3% (436)
Away
40.8% (179)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Wheeler
Barzal
P1
44.1%
39.7%
P2
48.7%
44.3%
P3
45.2%
44.2%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |