Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Barzal 39.3% (+23.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.8%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 83.3%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 64.1%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Gaunce
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaunce
Barzal
Last 5: Gaunce 3-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Gaunce
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
35.0% (283)
+21.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.6% (9)
+44.4%
On power play, Gaunce has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaunce is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Gaunce shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Barzal
Home
59.0% (39)
37.0% (138)
Away
58.8% (17)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Gaunce
Barzal
P1
50.0%
29.5%
P2
53.3%
44.5%
P3
68.0%
31.8%
Final 5 min
68.8%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |