Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Barzal 41.4% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 77.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 91.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 89.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Haula
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Barzal
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
40.4% (463)
+9.6%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
34.2% (38)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
28.6% (7)
+15.5%
On power play, Haula has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Haula
Barzal
Home
48.6% (426)
38.1% (244)
Away
51.6% (411)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Haula
Barzal
P1
52.2%
46.6%
P2
51.5%
35.7%
P3
46.7%
37.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |