Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.8% vs Barzal 42.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 74.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 72.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 71.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
McCann
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McCann
Barzal
Last 6: McCann 1-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
McCann
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
McCann
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
McCann
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (531)
41.9% (516)
+4.1%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
40.0% (60)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McCann is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
McCann shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
McCann
Barzal
Home
46.0% (263)
46.9% (303)
Away
46.4% (332)
35.7% (277)
By Period
McCann
Barzal
P1
48.9%
39.9%
P2
45.0%
45.1%
P3
44.7%
39.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |