Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Barzal 42.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 62.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 80.1%
Neutral zone
Couture 75.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Couture
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Couture
Barzal
Last 8: Couture 7-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
5
0
Couture
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
41.9% (516)
+4.5%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
40.0% (60)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
25.0% (4)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Couture is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Couture shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Couture
Barzal
Home
46.5% (333)
46.9% (303)
Away
46.0% (276)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Couture
Barzal
P1
45.7%
39.9%
P2
43.7%
45.1%
P3
48.7%
39.9%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Logan Couture |