Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Bonino 51.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 64.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 77.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 65.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Barzal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barzal
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
51.7% (777)
-5.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
60.0% (50)
-19.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bonino
Home
49.6% (242)
48.2% (461)
Away
43.3% (263)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Barzal
Bonino
P1
42.4%
54.1%
P2
49.5%
49.7%
P3
47.7%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |