Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Bonino 48.5% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 93.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 77.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Barzal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barzal
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
48.1% (324)
-13.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
57.9% (38)
-2.3%
On even strength, Bonino has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bonino
Home
37.0% (138)
52.0% (244)
Away
34.4% (154)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Barzal
Bonino
P1
29.5%
48.0%
P2
44.5%
42.9%
P3
31.8%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |