Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Patrick 48.9% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Barzal
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
47.4% (156)
-0.8%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
56.3% (16)
-15.4%
On power play, Patrick has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Barzal
Patrick
Home
49.6% (242)
43.8% (96)
Away
43.3% (263)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Barzal
Patrick
P1
42.4%
44.4%
P2
49.5%
45.6%
P3
47.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%