Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 55.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Barzal
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
59.2% (370)
-12.6%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
40.9% (44)
+0.0%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Barzal
Stastny
Home
49.6% (242)
57.7% (215)
Away
43.3% (263)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Barzal
Stastny
P1
42.4%
57.7%
P2
49.5%
54.2%
P3
47.7%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%