Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs Zacha 51.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 90.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 78.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 80.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Barzal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Barzal
Zacha
Last 10: Barzal 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
5
Barzal
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Barzal
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
53.3% (411)
-10.0%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
51.8% (114)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.0% (81)
-8.7%
On even strength, Zacha has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Barzal shoots right. Zacha is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zacha
Home
39.9% (168)
52.2% (295)
Away
46.7% (182)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Barzal
Zacha
P1
39.0%
50.5%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
43.3%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
30.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |