Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 66.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Barzal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barzal
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
48.0% (296)
-1.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
61.0% (59)
-20.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zacha
Home
49.6% (242)
48.9% (223)
Away
43.3% (263)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Barzal
Zacha
P1
42.4%
47.9%
P2
49.5%
48.3%
P3
47.7%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |