Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Zacha 46.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 61.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 50.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Barzal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Barzal
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
45.3% (247)
-10.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
58.1% (31)
-2.5%
On even strength, Zacha has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zacha
Home
37.0% (138)
39.7% (131)
Away
34.4% (154)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Barzal
Zacha
P1
29.5%
42.9%
P2
44.5%
46.4%
P3
31.8%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
39.1%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |