Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Danault 52.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 73.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 80.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 78.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Barzal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barzal
Danault
Last 6: Barzal 1-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Barzal
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Barzal
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Barzal
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
52.6% (574)
-10.3%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
63.6% (44)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
49.0% (102)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Danault is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Barzal
Danault
Home
44.3% (436)
56.8% (382)
Away
40.7% (398)
48.2% (338)
By Period
Barzal
Danault
P1
39.7%
54.4%
P2
44.3%
55.1%
P3
44.2%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |