Mathew Barzal vs Phillip Danault

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Phillip Danault holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 41.4% vs Danault 54.8% (-15.5%)
Offensive zone Barzal 53.2%
Defensive zone Danault 78.0%
Neutral zone Danault 57.6%
Result Phillip Danault favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Barzal Danault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
56.5% (711)
-16.1%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
46.0% (50)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
51.7% (116)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +23.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Danault shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Barzal
Danault
Home
38.1% (244)
57.0% (379)
Away
41.3% (264)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Barzal
Danault
P1
46.6%
55.8%
P2
35.7%
55.3%
P3
37.7%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
39.8%
Danault
54.0%
57.5%
55.3%