Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Danault 53.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Barzal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barzal
Danault
Last 5: Barzal 2-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Barzal
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
54.0% (985)
-7.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
61.1% (131)
-20.2%
On power play, Danault has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Barzal
Danault
Home
49.6% (242)
54.7% (636)
Away
43.3% (263)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Barzal
Danault
P1
42.4%
54.1%
P2
49.5%
54.3%
P3
47.7%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |