Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Nash 51.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 86.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 52.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 67.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Barzal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barzal
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Barzal
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Barzal
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
54.1% (292)
-7.5%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
57.1% (7)
-16.2%
On power play, Nash has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nash
Home
49.6% (242)
56.3% (183)
Away
43.3% (263)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Barzal
Nash
P1
42.4%
58.9%
P2
49.5%
51.0%
P3
47.7%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Riley Nash |