Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Nash 48.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 67.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 65.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Barzal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Barzal
Nash
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Barzal
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
2
Barzal
Nash
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Barzal
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
48.7% (4,621)
-6.8%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
51.0% (249)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.9% (550)
-2.6%
On power play, Nash has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nash
Home
43.1% (1,895)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Barzal
Nash
P1
40.7%
49.0%
P2
44.4%
47.9%
P3
41.0%
48.0%
OT
27.6%
68.4%
Final 5 min
39.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |