Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Poehling 47.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 71.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 77.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Barzal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Barzal
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
49.8% (626)
-9.4%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
58.3% (12)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
38.2% (207)
-9.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Barzal
Poehling
Home
38.1% (244)
47.3% (404)
Away
41.3% (264)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Barzal
Poehling
P1
46.6%
53.5%
P2
35.7%
39.4%
P3
37.7%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |