Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 59.1%
Defensive zone
Crosby 53.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Barzal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barzal
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Barzal
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
56.2% (1,451)
-13.9%
On even strength, Crosby has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Barzal
Crosby
Home
28.0% (25)
59.1% (939)
Away
55.6% (27)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Barzal
Crosby
P1
47.4%
54.9%
P2
45.8%
60.8%
P3
22.2%
55.4%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |