Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Crosby 55.5% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 95.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 80.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 91.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 91.6%
8.4%
91.6%
Barzal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barzal
Crosby
Last 7: Barzal 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
0
Barzal
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Barzal
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
53.7% (984)
-13.3%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
64.7% (241)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
64.3% (14)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Barzal
Crosby
Home
38.1% (244)
56.9% (649)
Away
41.3% (264)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Barzal
Crosby
P1
46.6%
55.8%
P2
35.7%
53.2%
P3
37.7%
58.7%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
40.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |