Scouting Report
Mathieu Joseph holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Joseph wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 47.3% vs Gregor 45.9% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 51.8%
Defensive zone
Gregor 50.6%
Neutral zone
Gregor 50.5%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Joseph
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (43)
33.3% (33)
+6.2%
On even strength, Joseph has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Joseph is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Joseph shoots left. Gregor is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Joseph
Gregor
Home
34.5% (29)
33.3% (15)
Away
52.6% (19)
35.0% (20)
By Period
Joseph
Gregor
P1
40.9%
33.3%
P2
41.7%
33.3%
P3
42.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
35.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.7%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
34.3%