Scouting Report
Mathieu Joseph holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 48.6% vs Gregor 46.3% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 53.5%
Defensive zone
Gregor 52.4%
Neutral zone
Gregor 52.0%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Joseph
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (7)
29.4% (17)
+13.5%
On even strength, Joseph has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Joseph is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (2).
Joseph shoots left. Gregor is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Joseph
Gregor
Home
50.0% (6)
23.1% (13)
Away
0.0% (3)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Joseph
Gregor
P1
40.0%
20.0%
P2
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
33.3%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
30.4%