Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Boldy wins 35.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boldy 46.3% vs Thomas 52.9% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 67.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 75.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.1%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Boldy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Boldy
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boldy
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Boldy
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boldy
1
0
Boldy
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boldy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (64)
53.2% (1,166)
-15.7%
Power Play
56.5% (23)
56.9% (262)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.4% (221)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Boldy is 35.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Boldy shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Boldy
Thomas
Home
35.6% (45)
51.6% (830)
Away
48.8% (43)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Boldy
Thomas
P1
35.1%
52.7%
P2
46.7%
55.6%
P3
45.0%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
42.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Boldy |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |