Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Boldy wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boldy 49.0% vs Thomas 51.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 72.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.7%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Boldy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boldy
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Boldy
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Boldy
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boldy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (61)
50.1% (615)
+4.0%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
62.2% (98)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
52.6% (114)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Boldy is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Boldy shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Boldy
Thomas
Home
46.3% (67)
51.9% (374)
Away
51.2% (43)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Boldy
Thomas
P1
40.0%
49.2%
P2
51.5%
55.3%
P3
57.7%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
48.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |