Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coronato wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 45.6% vs Beniers 47.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 77.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 69.9%
Neutral zone
Coronato 57.7%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Coronato
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coronato
Beniers
Last 6: Coronato 2-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
2
0
Coronato
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
3
Coronato
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Coronato
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (122)
48.3% (1,050)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
42.9% (105)
+5.7%
On even strength, Beniers has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Coronato is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Coronato shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Coronato
Beniers
Home
41.3% (92)
48.7% (630)
Away
44.8% (67)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Coronato
Beniers
P1
36.4%
49.2%
P2
40.5%
45.0%
P3
47.7%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
42.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |