Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coronato wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.3% vs Beniers 46.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 83.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 62.0%
Neutral zone
Coronato 68.4%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Coronato
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coronato
Beniers
Last 7: Coronato 2-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
2
0
Coronato
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Coronato
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Coronato
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (259)
46.6% (3,796)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.5% (68)
47.8% (360)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.4% (111)
-41.4%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Coronato is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Coronato shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Home / Away
Coronato
Beniers
Home
39.8% (171)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
40.1% (157)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Coronato
Beniers
P1
42.2%
47.4%
P2
38.0%
47.1%
P3
38.1%
45.7%
OT
100.0%
34.1%
Final 5 min
43.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |