Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 43.2% vs Donato 48.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 62.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 61.1%
Neutral zone
Coronato 50.5%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Coronato
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coronato
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coronato
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (119)
48.1% (258)
-11.1%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
43.2% (37)
+3.5%
On even strength, Donato has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coronato is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Coronato shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Coronato
Donato
Home
38.8% (67)
45.8% (142)
Away
38.6% (83)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Coronato
Donato
P1
50.9%
48.1%
P2
35.4%
46.6%
P3
28.6%
46.8%
Final 5 min
36.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
38.7%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |