Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 36.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 44.0% vs Donato 50.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 56.7%
Defensive zone
Donato 58.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Coronato
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coronato
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coronato
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (97)
51.4% (175)
-14.3%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
41.9% (31)
+5.7%
On even strength, Donato has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coronato is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Coronato shoots right. Donato is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Coronato
Donato
Home
37.5% (56)
48.6% (107)
Away
40.3% (62)
51.5% (99)
By Period
Coronato
Donato
P1
51.2%
52.0%
P2
31.4%
48.8%
P3
32.5%
47.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.0%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |