Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.3% vs Donato 44.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 60.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 65.4%
Neutral zone
Coronato 53.7%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Coronato
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coronato
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coronato
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (259)
44.2% (1,179)
-6.4%
Power Play
48.5% (68)
46.3% (246)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.4% (11)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coronato is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Coronato shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Coronato
Donato
Home
39.8% (171)
47.2% (743)
Away
40.1% (157)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Coronato
Donato
P1
42.2%
43.4%
P2
38.0%
45.1%
P3
38.1%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |