Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 45.6% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 72.9%
Defensive zone
Coronato 61.4%
Neutral zone
Coronato 67.0%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Coronato
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coronato
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Coronato
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (122)
56.2% (983)
-15.2%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
55.5% (254)
-6.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coronato is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Coronato shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Coronato
O'Reilly
Home
41.3% (92)
56.2% (697)
Away
44.8% (67)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Coronato
O'Reilly
P1
36.4%
54.5%
P2
40.5%
55.5%
P3
47.7%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
42.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |