Scouting Report
Matt Coronato holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.3% vs Smith 39.7% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 60.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.9%
Neutral zone
Coronato 50.7%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Coronato
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (259)
33.0% (191)
+4.8%
Power Play
48.5% (68)
48.1% (27)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Coronato is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Coronato shoots right. Smith is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Coronato
Smith
Home
39.8% (171)
33.6% (128)
Away
40.1% (157)
37.0% (92)
By Period
Coronato
Smith
P1
42.2%
37.1%
P2
38.0%
32.9%
P3
38.1%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
35.0%