Scouting Report
Matt Coronato holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.7% vs Smith 39.9% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 60.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.2%
Neutral zone
Coronato 50.5%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Coronato
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (237)
33.2% (184)
+4.8%
Power Play
49.2% (59)
48.1% (27)
+1.1%
On even strength, Coronato has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Coronato is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Coronato shoots right. Smith is 30.4% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Coronato
Smith
Home
39.4% (160)
34.1% (126)
Away
41.2% (136)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Coronato
Smith
P1
41.5%
37.9%
P2
36.7%
32.9%
P3
40.4%
32.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
40.2%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
35.2%