Scouting Report
Matt Coronato holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 45.6% vs Smith 41.4% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 55.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.6%
Result
Will Smith favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Coronato
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (122)
33.3% (153)
+7.7%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
56.5% (23)
-7.9%
On power play, Smith has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Coronato is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Coronato shoots right. Smith is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Coronato
Smith
Home
41.3% (92)
35.1% (111)
Away
44.8% (67)
38.8% (67)
By Period
Coronato
Smith
P1
36.4%
41.5%
P2
40.5%
32.8%
P3
47.7%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
42.8%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
36.5%