Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kampf on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kampf wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.6% vs Duchene 52.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.2%
Defensive zone
Kampf 91.5%
Neutral zone
Kampf 60.5%
Result
David Kampf favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Kampf
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kampf
Duchene
Last 5: Kampf 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
4
1
Kampf
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (856)
46.9% (162)
+8.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
73.2% (56)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (301)
100.0% (2)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kampf is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (726).
Kampf shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Kampf
Duchene
Home
52.9% (567)
58.4% (125)
Away
52.8% (598)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Kampf
Duchene
P1
51.5%
56.9%
P2
52.5%
52.5%
P3
54.7%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |