Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.3% vs Duchene 55.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 67.3%
Defensive zone
Krejci 72.2%
Neutral zone
Krejci 68.3%
Result
David Krejci favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Krejci
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Krejci
Duchene
Last 7: Krejci 1-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Krejci
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Krejci
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (645)
56.0% (579)
-7.2%
Power Play
66.2% (68)
59.3% (108)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
25.0% (8)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Krejci is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Krejci shoots right. Duchene is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Krejci
Duchene
Home
51.9% (374)
54.9% (375)
Away
48.8% (363)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Krejci
Duchene
P1
52.2%
58.3%
P2
51.4%
56.7%
P3
47.8%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |