Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.6% vs Duchene 52.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 65.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Strome
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Strome
Duchene
Last 5: Strome 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Strome
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
55.6% (248)
-9.1%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
45.3% (53)
+3.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Strome shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Strome
Duchene
Home
46.3% (216)
54.7% (150)
Away
47.8% (205)
53.0% (151)
By Period
Strome
Duchene
P1
48.5%
51.1%
P2
50.7%
57.8%
P3
41.5%
52.4%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2021 | OT | 01:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |