Frederick Gaudreau vs Matt Duchene
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 67.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Gaudreau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Gaudreau
Duchene
Last 10: Gaudreau 8-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
2
Gaudreau
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
53.0% (723)
-3.8%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
49.5% (101)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
43.8% (16)
+2.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Duchene
Home
47.1% (546)
54.9% (408)
Away
49.4% (551)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Gaudreau
Duchene
P1
46.8%
52.5%
P2
46.8%
51.7%
P3
51.1%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |