Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 56.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Miller
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Miller
Duchene
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Miller
Duchene
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
4
Miller
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,634)
53.9% (10,391)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.8% (1,281)
57.0% (1,664)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (910)
49.1% (468)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,891).
Miller shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Miller
Duchene
Home
55.8% (4,557)
55.6% (6,405)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Miller
Duchene
P1
54.6%
54.5%
P2
55.6%
54.5%
P3
54.0%
53.4%
OT
62.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
54.9%
Duchene
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2023 | OT | 02:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |