Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Eichel wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 42.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-1 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 78.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 84.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 80.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
13
(14 meetings)
1
13
Eichel
Duchene
Last 10: Eichel 1-9 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
6
Eichel
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
6
Eichel
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (791)
52.6% (1,112)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
56.0% (193)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (9)
49.0% (49)
-49.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
44.6% (408)
55.7% (652)
Away
38.6% (428)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
43.0%
51.4%
P2
40.7%
53.9%
P3
41.7%
53.3%
OT
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |