Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.1% vs Duchene 55.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 71.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 85.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eichel
Duchene
Last 5: Eichel 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (1,019)
56.0% (579)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.5% (242)
59.3% (108)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (50)
25.0% (8)
+3.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (936).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
48.0% (683)
54.9% (375)
Away
45.5% (628)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
46.1%
58.3%
P2
47.6%
56.7%
P3
46.4%
53.1%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |