Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 65.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 62.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 65.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eichel
Duchene
Last 7: Eichel 1-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Eichel
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Eichel
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
53.0% (723)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
49.5% (101)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
43.8% (16)
-4.1%
On even strength, Duchene has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
46.5% (606)
54.9% (408)
Away
44.8% (648)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
47.2%
52.5%
P2
46.9%
51.7%
P3
42.7%
53.6%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |