Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 24 meetings). Eichel wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 45-18 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 92.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 92.0%
Neutral zone
Eichel 95.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
45
(63 meetings)
18
45
Eichel
Duchene
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
12
Eichel
Duchene
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
19
Eichel
Duchene
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
14
Eichel
Duchene
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (8,243)
54.0% (10,249)
-9.5%
Power Play
52.5% (914)
56.9% (1,620)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (520)
49.3% (467)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,838).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,422).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
45.4% (4,775)
55.6% (6,270)
Away
44.5% (4,902)
52.7% (6,090)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
45.2%
54.5%
P2
45.7%
54.5%
P3
43.9%
53.4%
OT
44.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.9%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | OT | 01:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |