Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 26 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 46-20 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 90.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 88.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 90.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
46
(66 meetings)
20
46
Eichel
Duchene
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
13
Eichel
Duchene
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
19
Eichel
Duchene
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
14
Eichel
Duchene
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
53.9% (10,396)
-9.2%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
49.1% (468)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
45.7% (4,899)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
45.4%
54.5%
P2
45.8%
54.5%
P3
44.2%
53.4%
OT
44.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | OT | 01:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |